Japan is #1 in DSL growth

Over the first half of 2003, Japan led the world in DSL subscriber growth, gaining the greatest number of new subscribers of any country — roughly 2.6 million — between 1 January and 30 June 2003, reports Point-Topic.

China followed Japan, gaining about 1.9 million new DSL subscribers over the first half of this year, with the US rounding out the top three, gaining 1.1 million in the same time frame.

Forrester names Europe’s lower tier broadband nations

Broadband grew 92 per cent in Europe in 2002 according to a new report from Forrester Research.

In 2008, Forrester expects 30 per cent of homes will have broadband, 57 per cent of all online households, and advises access providers to shift their focus over the next 18 months from volume to profit growth by expanding tiered services, abandoning their portals, and rethinking billing.

Scandinavia and the Netherlands will dominate the ratings; German-speaking Europe, Belgium, Finland, and the UK will form a second tier; and Southern Europe and Ireland will continue to lag.

Worldwide Cable Modem Subs Expected to Double By 2007

Cable modem broadband service is expected to grow at high speeds. In-Stat/MDR reports that total worldwide cable modem subscribers reached 27 million in mid-2003, and is expected to hit 34 million by the end of the year. By 2007, In-Stat/MDR projects that there will be 68 million worldwide cable modem subscribers.

By geographic region, North America has the most cable modem subscribers with over 14.6 million. Comparatively, Leichtman Research Group (LRG) estimates that DSL only accounted for roughly 6.8 million U.S. subscribers at the end of the first quarter of 2003.

Supporting data from the Pew Internet & American Life Project indicates that modems served as the primary way people log on using broadband. In March 2003, 67 percent of broadband users connect using cable modems ? up from 63 percent in March 2002 ? while DSL had 28 percent of the broadband market in March 2003, down from 34 percent a year earlier.

In-Stat/MDR found that the Asia-Pacific region had the second highest cable modem subscriptions at 6.6 million, followed by Europe with 3.7 million.

“With demand for high-speed Internet access increasing, many of the world’s leading cable TV operators have invested heavily to upgrade their cable infrastructure in order to provide cable modem services,” says Mike Paxton, a senior analyst with In-Stat/MDR. “These investments are starting to pay off.”

According to In-Stat/MDR, cable TV operators collected $11 billion in cable modem service revenues in 2002, and this amount is expected to increase to $15 billion in 2003. However, Ipsos-Insight expects U.S. broadband adoption to lag since many users still aren’t ready to abandon dial-up. Four-in-ten dial-up users said cost was a reason they hadn’t yet switched to high-speed Internet access, and another one-third are not convinced they need broadband at all.

Further research from Ipsos-Insight reveals that even if broadband access drops to $20 per month, only 20 percent of Americans with dial-up said they would sign up for high-speed (whether DSL or cable), leaving 80 percent of dial-up users who wouldn’t switch, even at the $20 price-point.